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“The unleashed power of the atom has changed everything save our modes of thinking…We shall require a substantially new manner of thinking if mankind is to survive.”
–Albert Einstein
“The unleashed power of the atom has changed everything save our modes of thinking…We shall require a substantially new manner of thinking if mankind is to survive.”
–Albert Einstein
Q1 ’16: WMD Proliferation: India-Pakistan Edition
/in Risk & Opportunity /by mcuddeheThe border of India and Pakistan has been a toxic zone of conflict for decades, but the situation there has taken a turn for the worse. Pakistan has recently deployed tactical nukes on their border, under the control of local commanders. This hair-trigger situation is such that the slightest miscalculation could set off a nuclear […]
Q4 ’15: Uncertainty
/in Risk & Opportunity /by mcuddeheThe world is in a state of confusion, reflected in markets across the board, which went nowhere for all of 2015 (see Bloomberg “The Year Nothing Worked”). The new year started off with a sharp, but historically normal, selloff in stocks (Dow -13%, S&P -11%). Market fundamentals suggest more downside but the selloff precipitated a […]
Q2 ’15: Green Shoots
/in Risk & Opportunity /by mcuddehe“Two things have always been true about human beings. One, the world is always getting better. Two, the people living at that time think it’s getting worse.” Penn Jillette Political, economic and technological changes are rapidly changing the face of human civilization on planet Earth. At such a time it is easy to become overshadowed […]
Q1 ’15: Rationalizing Lunacy
/in Risk & Opportunity /by mcuddeheThe title of this quarter’s letter is taken from an article by Andrew Bacevich, professor emeritus of International Relations and History at Boston University. “Rationalizing Lunacy: The Intellectual as Servant of the State,” reprinted below with permission, addresses the impact of policy intellectuals on our foreign policy….characterizing them as “a blight on the Republic.” Mr. […]
Q4 ’14: The Tao of Washington
/in Risk & Opportunity /by mcuddeheOn January 22nd 2015 the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists updated the Doomsday Clock, moving it up three minutes to 11:57PM — three minutes from Armageddon — accompanied by the following statement: “Unchecked climate change, global nuclear weapons modernizations, and outsized nuclear weapons arsenals pose extraordinary and undeniable threats to the continued existence of humanity, […]
Q3 ’14: A Time for Downsizing
/in Risk & Opportunity /by mcuddeheOne of the big issues for conservatives in recent years has been the size of government, at least when Democrats are in power. Grover Norquist summed it up in his stated desire to “shrink government to the size where we can drown it in the bathtub.” Conservatives are not entirely wrong in their concern with […]
Q1 ’14: A Model for Leadership
/in Risk & Opportunity /by mcuddeheIt has been a long time since America has had leadership that puts nation before partisanship. Perhaps we have forgotten what that looks like. This quarter’s letter features the January 17, Farewell Address of Dwight Eisenhower. I would like to draw attention to Eisenhower’s emphasis on the need for balance in national affairs. Balance – […]
Q4 ’13: History Repeats Itself
/in Risk & Opportunity /by mcuddeheKarl Marx got some things right. “History repeats itself: first as tragedy, then as farce.” The spectacle emanating from Washington in recent months is nothing if not a farce. Republican neo-Confederate nihilists pushed the limit over the debt limit in October, causing a 16 day shutdown of government services and threatening to drive the U.S. […]